Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.292716e-05 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080
2025-02-23 2.492047e-05 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052 0.000065 0.000079 0.000097
2025-03-02 1.900761e-05 0.000027 0.000037 0.000050 0.000066 0.000084 0.000107
2025-03-09 1.519108e-05 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000067 0.000089 0.000118
2025-03-16 1.234222e-05 0.000021 0.000032 0.000048 0.000068 0.000094 0.000127
2025-03-23 1.031842e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000070 0.000099 0.000138
2025-03-30 8.640466e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000047 0.000072 0.000104 0.000148
2025-04-06 7.005131e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000045 0.000072 0.000107 0.000155
2025-04-13 5.366688e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000042 0.000070 0.000106 0.000158
2025-04-20 4.285683e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000041 0.000069 0.000108 0.000164
2025-04-27 3.624400e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000041 0.000071 0.000113 0.000173
2025-05-04 3.062319e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000041 0.000072 0.000117 0.000182
2025-05-11 2.830313e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000043 0.000078 0.000128 0.000202
2025-05-18 2.243542e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000042 0.000079 0.000133 0.000213
2025-05-25 1.629717e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000078 0.000134 0.000219
2025-06-01 1.225793e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000078 0.000137 0.000227
2025-06-08 9.171999e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000078 0.000140 0.000236
2025-06-15 7.066979e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000038 0.000080 0.000145 0.000247
2025-06-22 5.335603e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000081 0.000149 0.000257
2025-06-29 3.667034e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000080 0.000151 0.000264
2025-07-06 2.139538e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000078 0.000149 0.000266
2025-07-13 1.317947e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000150 0.000271
2025-07-20 9.078680e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000078 0.000155 0.000282